Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.625514 14.212851 16.035004 18.308106 21.106538 24.492610 28.986081
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.649019 12.568716 14.945461 18.182996 22.612372 28.684842 38.095241
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.405224 11.434330 14.071153 17.881539 23.500531 31.971863 46.909275
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.593116 10.692060 13.526805 17.827517 24.591960 35.710534 57.974314
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.047349 10.216753 13.247863 18.054171 26.087667 40.475699 73.517934
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.414021 9.543039 12.588286 17.570184 26.274985 42.922173 85.728679
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.995344 9.129113 12.254409 17.534733 27.205695 47.091959 105.608618
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.490007 8.544072 11.598624 16.868761 26.828503 48.361237 118.392429
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.996097 7.940489 10.861798 15.974875 25.850783 47.979603 125.579498
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.598007 7.455513 10.274146 15.277074 25.150806 48.088609 135.203757
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.752264 7.815814 11.059756 17.117799 30.078507 64.801426 253.616541
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.695521 7.841850 11.296726 17.978171 33.123605 78.426863 425.695392
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.332438 7.372783 10.681925 17.154251 32.109036 78.579752 487.325521
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.116802 7.128868 10.437492 17.045339 32.871942 85.830334 717.729637
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.895770 6.862253 10.131602 16.771620 33.151158 91.539489 1044.990994
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.727242 6.671582 9.944795 16.722596 34.031160 100.703123 1871.278238
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.608233 6.555450 9.881625 16.928278 35.691959 115.462160 5459.402079
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.411179 6.297899 9.542330 16.488917 35.354634 119.554914 11860.282981
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.281716 6.148243 9.392223 16.456711 36.269043 132.284984 346008.329867
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.088401 5.881127 9.007163 15.851123 35.241801 131.788506 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.879779 5.580587 8.545912 15.036494 33.417659 124.827657 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.704074 5.331155 8.171202 14.399103 32.099385 120.967654 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.816349 5.582128 8.758739 16.077713 39.022212 192.425662 NaN